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Reminiscences of a Stock Operator
Edwin Lefèvre (1871–1943) was an American journalist, writer,
and statesman most noted for his writings on Wall Street business.
An independently wealthy investor, while living in Hartsdale, New
York a collection of Edwin Lefèvre's short stories was published in
1901 under the title "Wall Street Stories." This was followed by
several novels about money and finance until 1908 when Lefèvre and
his wife Martha and their children moved to a country estate in East
Dorset, Vermont. During the 1909-1913 presidency of William Howard
Taft, Edwin Lefèvre was appointed an Ambassador of the United
States, serving in a number of countries including Italy, Spain, and
France. When his diplomatic career ended, he returned to his home in
Vermont where he resumed his literary work, providing short stories
for magazines such as The Saturday Evening Post and writing novels.
Of the eight books authored by Edwin Lefèvre his Reminiscences of a
Stock Operator is considered a must-read classic by most anyone
involved in the American financial community. The book began as a
series of twelve articles published between 1922 and 1923 in The
Saturday Evening Post. It is written as first-person fiction,
telling the story of a professional stock trader on Wall Street.
While published as fiction, it is generally accepted to be the
biography of stock market whiz Jesse Livermore. The book has been
reprinted in almost every decade since its original publication in
1925, the latest put out by John Wiley & Sons in hardcover and
paperback in 1994 which remains in print.
In his interviews with Edwin Lefèvre, Jesse Livermore spoke
eloquently of the training a would-be successful stock trader needs:
"The training of a stock trader is like a medical education.”
"The physician has to spend long years learning anatomy, physiology,
materia medica and collateral subjects by the dozen.”
"He learns the theory and then proceeds to devote his life to the
practice. He observes and classifies all sorts of pathological
phenomena. He learns to diagnose. If his diagnosis is correct - and
that depends upon the accuracy of his observation - he ought to do
pretty well in his prognosis, always keep in mind, of course, that
human fallibility and the utterly unforeseen will keep him from
scoring 100 per cent of bull's-eyes.”
"And then, as he gains in experience, he learns not only to do the
right thing but to do it instantly, so that many people will think
he does it instinctively. It really isn't automatism. It is that he
has diagnosed the case according to his observations of such cases
during a period of many years; and, naturally, after he has
diagnosed it, he can only treat it in the way that experience has
taught him is the proper treatment.”
"You can transmit knowledge-that is, your particular collection of
card-indexed facts-but not your experience. A man may know what to
do and lose money-if he doesn't do it quickly enough.”
"Observation, experience, memory and mathematics - these are what
the successful trader must depend on. He must not only observe
accurately but remember at all times what he has observed. He cannot
bet on the unreasonable or on the unexpected, however strong his
personal convictions may be about man's unreasonableness or however
certain he may feel that the unexpected happens very frequently. He
must bet always on probabilities - that is, try to anticipate them.
Years of practice at the game, of constant study, of always
remembering, enable the trader to act on the instant when the
unexpected happens as well as when the expected comes to pass.”
"A man can have great mathematical ability and an unusual power of
accurate observation and yet fail in speculation unless he also
possesses the experience and the memory. And then, like the
physician who keeps up with the advances of science, the wise trader
never ceases to study general conditions, to keep track of
developments everywhere that are likely to affect or influence the
course of the various markets. After years at the game it becomes a
habit to keep posted. He acts almost automatically. He acquires the
invaluable professional attitude and that enables him to beat the
game-at times! This difference between the professional and the
amateur or occasional trader cannot be overemphasized. I find, for
instance, that memory and mathematics help me very much. Wall Street
makes its money on a mathematical basis. I mean, it makes its money
by dealing with facts and figures.”
"When I said that a trader has to keep posted to the minute and that
he must take a purely professional attitude toward all markets and
all developments, I merely meant to emphasize again that hunches and
the mysterious ticker-sense haven't so very much to do with
success."
From the age of 15, Jesse Livermore had become an expert at reading
the ticker tape that brought price and volume data from the trading
floor of the New York Stock Exchange.
Jesse Livermore had learned, with a high probability of being right,
to predict whether a stock was due to rise or fall.
He had also learned that the time delay involved in trading on the
stock exchange through a broker, rather than trading in a bucket
shop, meant he had to choose his trades carefully. He should accept
only those trades that offered the highest probability of large
movements in price. The time-delay meant he could no longer step
into trades where he thought he could very quickly grab a one-point
profit.
Finally, he had learned through bitter experience to trust his own
reading of the tape in preference to listening to experts. He had
also learned that the insider tips he was regularly privy to were
often worthless and that they should be ignored.
Something was still missing from his trading though and Jesse
Livermore tried to find it.
First of all, rather than solely relying on the tape, Jesse
Livermore began to look further afield, reading trade reports,
earnings figures and financial statements. This gave him a better
feel for the companies that should be rising and those that should
be falling.
Then, studying his own trading records, he found that although he
was often 100 percent right in predicting small movements in prices,
he was making much less profit than he should in the bull market
that prevailed. Jesse Livermore realized that by jumping into and
out of stocks on the basis of his daily reading of the tape he was
missing out on profits.
A Crucial Conversation - "It's a Bull Market"
Listening to the (repeated daily) advice of an old stager in the
offices of Fullerton, it suddenly dawned on him why he was making
less profit than he should. Whatever questions the old fellow -
known to everyone as Turkey although his real name was Partridge -
was asked about the market, he would reply, "Well, it's a bull
market".
At first Jesse Livermore thought this was a mere platitude. Hearing
"It's a Bull Market" daily, he began thinking about it more. Then,
listening to a conversation between Turkey and Elmer Harwood - a
young trader - he realized that it was more than a platitude - it
was the missing piece in his own education.
Elmer: "Mr. Partridge, I have
just sold my Climax Motors. My people say the market is entitled to
a reaction and that I'll be able to buy it back cheaper. So you'd
better do likewise. That is, if you've still got yours."
Turkey: "Yes, Mr. Harwood, I still have it. Of course!"
Elmer: "Well, now is the time to take your profit and get in again
on the next dip," said Elmer, "I have just sold every share I
owned!"
Turkey: "No! No! I can't do that!"
Elmer: "Didn't I give you the tip to buy it?"
Turkey: "You did, Mr. Harwood, and I am very grateful to you.
Elmer: And didn't that stock go up seven points in ten days? Didn't
it?"
Turkey: "It did, and I am much obliged to you, my dear boy. But I
couldn't think of selling that stock."
Elmer: "Why not?"
Turkey: "Why, this is a bull market!"
(The old fellow said it as though he had given a detailed
explanation.)
Elmer: "I know this is a bull market as well as you do. But you'd
better slip them that stock of yours and buy it back on the
reaction. You might as well reduce the cost to yourself."
Turkey: "My dear boy, if I sold that stock now I'd lose my position;
and then where would I be? And when you are as old as I am and
you've been through as many booms and panics as I have, you'll know
that to lose your position is something nobody can afford; not even
John D. Rockefeller. I hope the stock reacts and that you will be
able to repurchase your line at a substantial concession, sir. But I
myself can only trade in accordance with the experience of many
years. I paid a high price for it and I don't feel like throwing
away a second tuition fee. But I am as much obliged to you as if I
had the money in the bank. It's a bull market, you know."
Jesse Livermore realized that Turkey's consistent message was that
the big money was to be made not in trying to trade small moves on
the tape but to catch the major trend.
"Nobody can catch all the fluctuations. In a bull market your game
is to buy and hold until you believe that the bull market is near
its end. To do this you must study general conditions and not tips
or special factors affecting individual stocks. Then get out of all
your stocks; get out for keeps! You have to use your brains and your
vision to do this; otherwise my advice would be as idiotic as to
tell you to buy cheap and sell dear. One of the most helpful things
that anybody can learn is to give up trying to catch the last
eighth-or the first. These two are the most expensive eighths in the
world."
With this step in place, Jesse
Livermore's trading philosophy was complete.
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